Change level

At what level should we explain what happens, and act on it?

An explanation can sit at many levels – a person, a circle, a whole network. A small system of states, with the chance of moving from each to each, makes the choice precise. Group the states, and see whether the grouped description tells you more about what follows, and whether it predicts itself.

Example

What follows what weights per row: from each state (row) to each next state (column)

Your grouping put states in the same group to describe them as one

Natural levels groupings that predict their own next state as well as the full detail does

Every grouping: number of groups (across) and causal emergence in bits (up); rings mark natural levels. Use the arrow keys or click to try one.

Your prediction